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Red231
220081.1
333976.6
115366.5
Blue226
319770.3
763268.6
124176.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247223100150200300350231226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
10Coral scored#12
48Coral points58
57Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +6
32Coral scored#27
114Coral points96
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
18Processor points30
16Net points16
34Algae points46
148Total teleop142
Reef
16L4#13
10L3#11
10L2#10
6L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
231Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.10.0
83.083.0
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
red by 4.6
1241
#61
76.40.3
76.276.4
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
76.60.0
78.678.6
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
red by 6.3
3197
#44
70.30.3
70.170.3
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
Third
1153
#57
66.50.0
68.468.4
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
blue by 2.1
68.60.3
68.368.6
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5