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Red244
19571.5
3377.7
924571.6
Blue261
319770.3
763268.6
124176.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312200100200300400244261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +33
0Leave0
8Coral scored#14
39Coral points72
39Total auto72
TeleoperatedRed +6
25Coral scored#26
89Coral points95
9Processor algae#7
9Net algae#9
54Processor points42
36Net points36
90Algae points78
179Total teleop173
Reef
11L4#16
11L3#8
8L2#11
3L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#56
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
244Total score261

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#23
77.70.3
77.477.7
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
red by 1.3
1241
#61
76.40.9
75.376.2
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
71.60.3
71.371.6
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 1.3
3197
#44
70.30.9
69.270.1
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
Third
195
#39
71.50.3
71.371.5
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
red by 2.9
68.60.9
67.568.3
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5