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Red251
276783.0
287773.3
176880.3
Blue219
220081.1
333976.6
115366.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258248150200300350251219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave6
12Coral scored#9
62Coral points47
65Total auto53
TeleoperatedRed +16
30Coral scored#27
108Coral points96
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
150Total teleop134
Reef
19L4#14
15L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points6
251Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.00.3
83.583.8
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 1.9
81.10.4
83.483.0
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
80.30.3
80.881.1
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 3.6
76.60.4
79.078.6
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Third
2877
#32
73.30.3
73.874.1
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 6.8
1153
#57
66.50.4
68.868.4
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1