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Red233
490786.0
632471.8
949678.4
Blue236
150661.8
3377.7
924571.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251216100150200300233236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points43
51Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +14
27Coral scored#25
96Coral points90
5Processor algae#5
6Net algae#11
30Processor points30
24Net points44
54Algae points74
150Total teleop164
Reef
14L4#14
11L3#10
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
233Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.2
86.286.0
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
red by 8.3
33
#23
77.70.6
76.877.4
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
Second
78.40.2
78.678.4
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
red by 6.8
71.60.6
70.771.3
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Third
6324
#31
71.80.2
72.071.8
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
red by 10.0
1506
#24
61.80.6
61.261.8
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1