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Red251
632471.8
490786.0
949678.4
Blue202
664747.7
124176.4
304570.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246187150200300251202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+51Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
11Coral scored#13
55Coral points65
58Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +28
34Coral scored#24
121Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
12Processor points24
24Net points20
36Algae points44
157Total teleop129
Reef
22L4#17
11L3#6
5L2#10
7L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#46
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points2
251Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.5
85.185.7
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
red by 9.6
1241
#61
76.40.4
78.278.5
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
78.40.5
79.079.5
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
red by 7.7
3045
#45
70.70.4
68.669.0
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
Third
6324
#31
71.80.5
67.768.2
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
red by 24.1
6647
#36
47.70.4
36.737.0
Auto7.7
Teleop37.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed