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Red145
598524.3
5161.1
1022442.7
Blue102
208026.8
742140.6
247041.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911980100140160180145102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+23Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
22Coral scored#15
79Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
103Total teleop73
Reef
13L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
145Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#29
61.11.5
50.452.0
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
red by 20.0
2470
#70
41.21.2
47.846.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Second
42.71.5
40.341.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
red by 2.1
7421
#71
40.61.2
42.741.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End3.2
Third
5985
#48
24.31.5
19.921.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 2.5
2080
#74
26.81.2
16.415.2
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed