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Red218
253973.9
54043.2
945088.2
Blue193
208026.8
252275.2
190260.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222162100150200250300350218193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points40
50Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +25
31Coral scored#26
112Coral points93
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
24Processor points18
16Net points16
40Algae points34
152Total teleop127
Reef
15L4#15
9L3#6
12L2#5
4L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
218Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9450
#17
88.20.4
84.885.2
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
red by 12.9
2522
#38
75.22.0
72.474.4
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
Second
2539
#19
73.90.4
74.274.5
Auto15.2
Teleop48.6
End10.1
red by 13.2
1902
#30
60.72.0
59.561.6
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
Third
540
#50
43.20.4
42.442.7
Auto9.6
Teleop33.8
End-0.2
red by 16.4
2080
#74
26.82.0
21.623.6
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned