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Red112
664747.7
742140.6
790245.6
Blue50
963535.8
37946.8
270636.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581005020025011250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+60Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +57
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points32
4Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
24Processor points0
16Net points8
40Algae points8
97Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
112Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#36
47.71.8
47.645.8
Auto7.7
Teleop37.1
End2.8
red by 11.2
2706
#62
36.53.2
40.337.1
Auto6.0
Teleop28.8
End1.7
Second
7902
#27
45.61.8
44.642.7
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End8.4
red by 9.8
9635
#75
35.83.2
38.335.1
Auto7.5
Teleop26.5
End1.8
Third
7421
#71
40.61.8
41.439.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End3.2
red by 33.8
3794
#69
6.83.2
14.010.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed