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Red185
913447.4
365665.8
519348.4
Blue213
5161.1
88857.7
248548.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176170120140160200220185213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points41
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +20
23Coral scored#30
83Coral points109
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#8
18Processor points12
32Net points32
50Algae points44
133Total teleop153
Reef
13L4#12
6L3#11
4L2#10
5L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
185Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#11
65.81.1
61.862.9
Auto12.0
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 4.6
51
#29
61.13.1
56.459.5
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
Second
5193
#54
48.41.1
44.946.1
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 9.4
888
#47
57.73.1
55.658.7
Auto17.2
Teleop39.4
End1.2
Third
9134
#22
47.41.1
50.351.4
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
blue by 0.8
2485
#52
48.23.1
43.246.3
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned