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Red181
88857.7
573663.2
581757.5
Blue208
313055.4
19571.5
296052.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187199140160180220240260181208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
21Coral scored#28
76Coral points99
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#8
12Processor points24
32Net points32
44Algae points56
120Total teleop155
Reef
8L4#14
14L3#8
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
181Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5736
#56
63.21.3
62.861.5
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
blue by 8.3
195
#39
71.50.2
80.380.5
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
Second
888
#47
57.71.3
60.659.3
Auto17.2
Teleop39.4
End1.2
red by 2.3
3130
#13
55.40.2
51.651.8
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Third
5817
#64
57.51.3
58.156.8
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
red by 4.8
2960
#20
52.70.2
52.352.5
Auto10.5
Teleop34.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed100%Barge oddsEarned