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Red148
150661.8
249167.3
381428.9
Blue113
519348.4
924571.6
963535.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138167100150200250148113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points29
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
93Total teleop68
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
148Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#25
67.30.2
58.758.5
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
blue by 4.3
71.63.6
70.767.1
Auto14.5
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Second
1506
#24
61.80.2
55.154.9
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
red by 13.5
5193
#54
48.43.6
48.645.0
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
Third
3814
#66
28.90.2
19.819.6
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End3.4
blue by 6.8
9635
#75
35.83.6
41.337.7
Auto7.5
Teleop26.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned