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Red227
190260.7
763268.6
287773.3
Blue167
238358.1
46762.3
392851.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195171120140160180220240260227167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points27
51Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +45
29Coral scored#24
106Coral points85
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
24Processor points12
20Net points8
44Algae points20
150Total teleop105
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#11
10L2#4
10L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
227Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#32
73.32.4
67.570.0
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 11.0
467
#41
62.30.0
58.959.0
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
Second
68.62.4
57.960.4
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5
red by 10.5
2383
#73
58.10.0
55.355.3
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Third
1902
#30
60.72.4
56.458.9
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
red by 8.7
3928
#16
51.90.0
49.449.4
Auto8.8
Teleop35.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned