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Red225
115366.5
414570.0
176880.3
Blue205
859535.9
97374.5
857063.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244163100150200300225205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+34Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
10Coral scored#7
50Coral points33
50Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +26
29Coral scored#23
103Coral points81
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
30Processor points18
20Net points28
50Algae points46
153Total teleop127
Reef
14L4#11
10L3#10
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
225Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.30.8
78.477.5
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 5.7
973
#26
74.52.2
60.162.3
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
Second
4145
#12
70.00.8
64.964.1
Auto18.1
Teleop45.4
End6.5
red by 6.1
8570
#53
63.92.2
63.365.5
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
Third
1153
#57
66.50.8
76.675.8
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
red by 30.6
8595
#55
35.92.5
36.839.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned