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Red191
37946.8
397081.7
220081.1
Blue168
23070.5
253973.9
170026.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185167120140160200220240191168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +50
27Coral scored#19
97Coral points67
6Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
36Processor points12
16Net points20
52Algae points32
149Total teleop99
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#6
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
191Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
81.70.8
80.481.2
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
red by 7.8
2539
#19
73.90.2
70.370.1
Auto15.2
Teleop48.6
End10.1
Second
81.10.8
79.980.7
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
red by 10.5
230
#21
70.50.2
58.758.5
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
Third
3794
#69
6.81.0
8.09.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 20.1
1700
#60
26.80.2
25.225.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned