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Red190
414570.0
573663.2
963535.8
Blue185
190260.7
207570.4
388252.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180206100150250300190185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +9
25Coral scored#24
90Coral points87
5Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
30Processor points24
28Net points28
58Algae points52
148Total teleop139
Reef
7L4#7
10L3#10
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
190Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#12
70.00.6
66.467.0
Auto18.1
Teleop45.4
End6.5
blue by 0.4
2075
#10
70.40.9
72.471.5
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9
Second
5736
#56
63.20.6
61.762.4
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
red by 2.6
1902
#30
60.70.9
61.660.7
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
Third
9635
#75
35.80.6
35.135.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.5
End1.8
blue by 16.8
3882
#15
52.50.9
53.452.5
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned