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Red220
1047958.6
949678.4
857063.9
Blue230
790245.6
365665.8
249167.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22318550100150200250300350220230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave6
10Coral scored#6
49Coral points30
55Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +13
25Coral scored#31
89Coral points112
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#4
18Processor points24
32Net points16
50Algae points40
139Total teleop152
Reef
14L4#19
8L3#8
6L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
220Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.6
78.979.5
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
red by 11.1
2491
#25
67.32.8
64.567.3
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
Second
8570
#53
63.90.6
63.363.9
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
blue by 1.9
3656
#11
65.82.8
62.965.8
Auto12.0
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Third
58.60.6
58.158.6
Auto12.2
Teleop38.6
End7.9
red by 13.0
7902
#27
45.62.8
42.745.6
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned