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Red145
238358.1
501341.9
1015725.1
Blue226
176880.3
664747.7
248548.2
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12820050100150250300145226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+83
Endgame+69
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points45
33Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +65
19Coral scored#35
68Coral points127
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
92Total teleop157
Reef
9L4#15
7L3#14
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#9
29Game pieces#51
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points12
145Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#73
58.10.5
57.558.1
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
blue by 22.2
80.31.9
79.080.9
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
Second
5013
#51
41.90.5
41.441.9
Auto8.4
Teleop31.5
End2.1
blue by 6.3
2485
#52
48.21.9
46.348.2
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End5.1
Third
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 22.6
6647
#36
47.71.9
45.847.7
Auto7.7
Teleop37.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed