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Red196
208026.8
333976.6
103840.5
Blue165
519348.4
400952.0
687331.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154136100200250196165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points28
37Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +13
31Coral scored#20
111Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#9
6Processor points12
16Net points36
22Algae points48
133Total teleop120
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#7
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
196Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.63.2
75.378.5
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
red by 24.6
4009
#35
52.02.3
49.752.0
Auto11.2
Teleop37.4
End3.4
Second
1038
#42
40.53.2
37.340.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
blue by 7.9
5193
#54
48.42.3
46.148.4
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
Third
2080
#74
26.83.2
23.626.8
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
blue by 4.2
6873
#67
31.02.3
28.731.0
Auto4.1
Teleop24.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed