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Red255
220081.1
490786.0
472872.9
Blue149
518159.9
954520.1
581757.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26814250100200250300255149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+74Teleop
+104Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave9
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points4
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +43
34Coral scored#23
121Coral points82
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
30Processor points18
20Net points28
50Algae points46
171Total teleop128
Reef
19L4#9
9L3#6
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#34
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
4Foul points2
255Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.3
87.487.1
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
red by 26.1
5181
#18
59.90.1
60.059.9
Auto12.3
Teleop41.8
End5.8
Second
81.10.3
83.383.0
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
red by 23.5
5817
#64
57.50.1
57.757.5
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
Third
72.90.3
74.273.9
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
red by 52.8
9545
#72
20.10.1
20.320.1
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed