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Red218
46762.3
207570.4
3377.7
Blue203
252275.2
381428.9
5161.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236171100150200250300218203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +28
29Coral scored#19
106Coral points68
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#8
18Processor points24
28Net points32
46Algae points56
152Total teleop124
Reef
14L4#9
8L3#8
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
218Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#23
77.70.3
77.076.7
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
red by 2.4
2522
#38
75.21.6
74.476.1
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
Second
2075
#10
70.40.3
71.571.2
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9
red by 9.2
51
#29
61.11.6
59.561.1
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
Third
467
#41
62.30.3
62.562.3
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
red by 33.3
3814
#66
28.91.6
27.328.9
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned