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Red126
115366.5
170026.8
296052.7
Blue158
278357.7
1022442.7
80149.2
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18417050100150200250300126158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +19
9Leave6
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points38
25Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
85Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#12
7L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points8
126Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#57
66.52.8
71.268.4
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
red by 8.8
2783
#37
57.70.7
58.457.7
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
2960
#20
52.72.8
55.552.7
Auto10.5
Teleop34.9
End7.3
red by 3.5
801
#34
49.20.7
49.949.2
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End4.0
Third
1700
#60
26.82.8
29.626.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.1
blue by 15.9
42.70.7
43.442.7
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned