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Red176
414570.0
665215.3
347343.9
Blue210
598763.1
23070.5
7063.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12622750100150200250300176210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
15Coral scored#28
54Coral points102
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
24Processor points18
28Net points24
52Algae points42
106Total teleop144
Reef
11L4#13
5L3#7
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
34Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
176Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#12
70.03.0
67.070.0
Auto18.1
Teleop45.4
End6.5
blue by 0.6
230
#21
70.50.1
70.470.5
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
Second
3473
#28
43.93.0
41.043.9
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
blue by 19.5
70
#40
63.40.1
63.363.4
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
Third
6652
#65
15.33.0
12.415.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 47.7
5987
#14
63.10.1
62.963.1
Auto10.4
Teleop41.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned