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Qual 1242025 Hopper Division
Red145
54043.2
598524.3
304570.7
Blue207
573663.2
8646.4
97374.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146203100250300145207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+50
Fouls+62
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points39
51Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +33
14Coral scored#20
50Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
78Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#12
5L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points12
145Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#45
70.70.5
71.2→71.7
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
blue by 3.8
973
#26
74.50.8
74.5→75.3
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
Second
540
#50
43.20.5
42.7→43.2
Auto9.6
Teleop33.8
End-0.2
blue by 20.0
5736
#56
63.20.8
62.4→63.2
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
Third
5985
#48
24.30.5
23.8→24.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 22.1
86
#49
46.40.8
45.6→46.4
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned