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Red216
397081.7
124176.4
78158.8
Blue180
19571.5
817743.8
319770.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236192150250300216180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+12Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
12Coral scored#9
62Coral points45
65Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +28
26Coral scored#21
95Coral points75
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
121Total teleop93
Reef
20L4#11
7L3#9
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
24Foul points0
216Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
81.72.0
84.682.7
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
red by 10.2
195
#39
71.50.3
71.771.5
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
Second
1241
#61
76.42.0
76.074.0
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
red by 6.1
3197
#44
70.30.3
68.267.9
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
Third
781
#59
58.82.0
60.858.8
Auto13.2
Teleop43.1
End2.5
red by 15.0
8177
#46
43.80.3
44.143.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned