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Red226
276783.0
287773.3
176880.3
Blue200
207570.4
97374.5
252275.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260235150200300350226200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
10Coral scored#9
49Coral points45
58Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +10
25Coral scored#24
90Coral points86
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
18Processor points24
32Net points20
50Algae points44
140Total teleop130
Reef
18L4#16
6L3#10
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
226Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.00.3
83.683.3
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 7.8
2522
#38
75.20.5
76.175.6
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
Second
80.30.3
80.980.6
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 5.7
973
#26
74.50.5
75.374.8
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
Third
2877
#32
73.30.3
73.973.6
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 2.9
2075
#10
70.40.5
71.270.7
Auto13.0
Teleop47.5
End9.9