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Red103
252275.2
103840.5
665215.3
Blue117
8646.4
270636.5
1015725.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122104406080140160180103117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
57Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points0
103Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#38
75.20.1
70.870.8
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
red by 28.8
86
#49
46.41.5
40.742.2
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
Second
1038
#42
40.50.1
18.418.3
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
red by 4.0
2706
#62
36.51.5
31.132.6
Auto6.0
Teleop28.8
End1.7
Third
6652
#65
15.30.1
12.812.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 9.8
25.11.5
22.524.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned