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Red236
472872.9
276783.0
388252.5
Blue154
598763.1
208026.8
664747.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21511450100150200250236154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+62Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points14
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
33Coral scored#21
119Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
149Total teleop115
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#8
11L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
236Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.02.2
80.082.2
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 19.9
5987
#14
63.12.2
57.659.8
Auto10.4
Teleop41.4
End11.2
Second
72.92.2
68.170.2
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
red by 25.2
6647
#36
47.72.2
37.039.2
Auto7.7
Teleop37.1
End2.8
Third
3882
#15
52.52.2
44.146.3
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
red by 25.7
2080
#74
26.82.2
15.217.4
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned