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Red232
490786.0
278357.7
5161.1
Blue245
333976.6
790245.6
23070.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206192140160180200220240260232245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
10Coral scored#10
52Coral points50
58Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +15
24Coral scored#26
88Coral points93
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#9
18Processor points24
32Net points36
50Algae points60
138Total teleop153
Reef
13L4#18
9L3#7
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#7
45Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points6
232Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.01.7
85.787.4
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
red by 9.4
76.63.4
72.375.7
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Second
51
#29
61.11.7
52.053.7
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
blue by 9.4
230
#21
70.53.4
58.561.9
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
Third
2783
#37
57.71.7
54.356.0
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
red by 12.1
7902
#27
45.63.4
42.846.2
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned