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Red192
287773.3
632471.8
97374.5
Blue194
347343.9
518159.9
945088.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217189140160180200240260280192194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
51Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +10
25Coral scored#26
89Coral points93
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
125Total teleop135
Reef
15L4#12
5L3#11
8L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
192Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#26
74.51.3
62.361.0
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
blue by 13.6
9450
#17
88.20.4
83.884.2
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
Second
2877
#32
73.31.3
70.068.6
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
red by 13.4
5181
#18
59.90.4
57.457.8
Auto12.3
Teleop41.8
End5.8
Third
6324
#31
71.81.3
68.266.9
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
red by 27.9
3473
#28
43.90.4
35.035.5
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned