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Red187
313055.4
150661.8
103840.5
Blue172
220081.1
1047958.6
913447.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130203100150250300187172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +39
29Coral scored#16
106Coral points57
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
134Total teleop95
Reef
17L4#10
10L3#11
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
187Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#24
61.83.4
54.958.3
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
blue by 19.2
81.11.5
80.779.2
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
3130
#13
55.43.4
51.855.2
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End9.1
blue by 3.2
58.61.5
58.156.6
Auto12.2
Teleop38.6
End7.9
Third
1038
#42
40.53.4
18.321.7
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
blue by 6.9
9134
#22
47.41.5
44.442.9
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned