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Red113
1015725.1
662174.0
37946.8
Blue148
598524.3
573663.2
397081.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9718750150200250113148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
74Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points10
113Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.00.6
65.666.2
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
blue by 7.7
3970
#43
81.72.1
81.279.0
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
Second
25.10.6
24.024.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 38.1
5736
#56
63.22.1
61.559.4
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
Third
3794
#69
6.80.7
9.19.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 17.5
5985
#48
24.32.1
21.519.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned