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Red233
365665.8
490786.0
176880.3
Blue185
78158.8
388252.5
287773.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252177100150200300350233185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points33
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +39
24Coral scored#27
85Coral points96
5Processor algae#2
12Net algae#4
30Processor points12
48Net points16
78Algae points28
163Total teleop124
Reef
11L4#14
10L3#9
4L2#8
7L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points2
233Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.00.4
87.487.0
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
red by 12.7
2877
#32
73.30.1
68.668.7
Auto19.8
Teleop43.5
End10.0
Second
80.30.4
77.977.5
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 21.4
781
#59
58.80.1
53.353.3
Auto13.2
Teleop43.1
End2.5
Third
3656
#11
65.80.4
59.959.5
Auto12.0
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 13.2
3882
#15
52.50.1
46.346.4
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned