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Red161
253973.9
519348.4
790245.6
Blue220
472872.9
8646.4
632471.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17319350100150250300350161220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
34Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +44
14Coral scored#28
51Coral points99
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
24Processor points24
28Net points24
52Algae points48
103Total teleop147
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#11
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
161Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#19
73.90.8
70.769.8
Auto15.2
Teleop48.6
End10.1
red by 1.0
72.92.0
70.272.2
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
Second
5193
#54
48.40.8
45.544.7
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
blue by 23.4
6324
#31
71.82.0
66.968.9
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
Third
7902
#27
45.60.8
46.245.4
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End8.4
blue by 0.8
86
#49
46.42.0
42.244.2
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned