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Red195
319770.3
1015725.1
124176.4
Blue198
97374.5
5161.1
662174.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183194120140160220240260195198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points47
54Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +14
26Coral scored#23
93Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
129Total teleop115
Reef
16L4#15
9L3#7
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +26
10Cage & park36
10Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
195Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#61
76.40.9
78.979.8
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
red by 1.9
973
#26
74.50.4
61.061.4
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
Second
3197
#44
70.30.9
65.266.1
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
blue by 3.7
74.00.4
66.266.6
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Third
25.10.9
24.625.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 36.0
51
#29
61.10.4
53.754.1
Auto11.9
Teleop38.2
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned