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Red190
23070.5
103840.5
913447.4
Blue176
19571.5
80149.2
859535.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141191050100250300350190176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +9
23Coral scored#27
81Coral points98
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
18Processor points12
28Net points8
46Algae points20
127Total teleop118
Reef
13L4#11
8L3#9
3L2#10
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points2
190Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#21
70.53.5
61.965.4
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
blue by 1.0
195
#39
71.50.0
80.980.9
Auto16.4
Teleop47.0
End8.1
Second
9134
#22
47.43.5
42.946.4
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
blue by 1.8
801
#34
49.20.0
47.447.4
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End4.0
Third
1038
#42
40.53.5
21.725.2
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
red by 4.6
8595
#55
35.90.0
34.334.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned