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Red82
248548.2
80149.2
8646.4
Blue135
347343.9
278357.7
388252.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15514110020082135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
47Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
82Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#34
49.24.4
51.346.9
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End4.0
blue by 8.5
2783
#37
57.70.4
54.654.3
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
2485
#52
48.24.4
46.241.8
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End5.1
blue by 4.3
3882
#15
52.50.4
44.544.1
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
Third
86
#49
46.44.4
45.140.7
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
red by 2.5
3473
#28
43.90.4
35.435.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned