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Red138
276783.0
817743.8
54043.2
Blue178
662174.0
665215.3
518159.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184139100150200250138178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
34Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +32
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#10
6Processor points18
16Net points40
22Algae points58
90Total teleop122
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#7
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points14
138Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#33
83.02.8
82.880.0
Auto20.3
Teleop52.5
End10.2
red by 9.0
74.01.4
64.265.6
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Second
8177
#46
43.82.8
40.237.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.8
End8.6
blue by 16.0
5181
#18
59.91.4
56.057.4
Auto12.3
Teleop41.8
End5.8
Third
540
#50
43.22.8
45.642.8
Auto9.6
Teleop33.8
End-0.2
red by 27.9
6652
#65
15.31.4
11.412.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned