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Red179
3377.7
208026.8
115366.5
Blue191
763268.6
347343.9
662174.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194173050100150250300350400179191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+2
Endgame+14
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
7Coral scored#7
36Coral points34
39Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +1
25Coral scored#24
90Coral points85
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
18Processor points24
12Net points12
30Algae points36
120Total teleop121
Reef
13L4#16
9L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points4
179Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#23
77.70.2
78.979.1
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
red by 3.7
74.01.6
66.668.2
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Second
1153
#57
66.50.2
73.273.4
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
blue by 2.1
68.61.6
58.560.1
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5
Third
2080
#74
26.80.2
17.517.7
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
blue by 17.1
3473
#28
43.91.6
38.440.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned