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Red144
37946.8
248548.2
252275.2
Blue203
249167.3
220081.1
817743.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12820350100150250300144203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+35
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +36
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points62
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
6Processor points30
12Net points20
18Algae points50
76Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#7
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points24
144Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#38
75.21.2
67.668.8
Auto21.3
Teleop45.2
End8.8
blue by 5.8
81.10.4
82.181.7
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
Second
2485
#52
48.21.2
42.343.4
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End5.1
blue by 19.1
2491
#25
67.30.4
58.458.0
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
Third
3794
#69
6.81.2
11.012.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 37.0
8177
#46
43.80.4
38.638.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned