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Red222
97374.5
392851.9
388252.5
Blue171
23070.5
381428.9
313055.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17216050100200250300222171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+27Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +41
26Coral scored#20
94Coral points73
6Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
36Processor points12
24Net points28
60Algae points40
154Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#7
13L3#7
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#36
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
222Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#26
74.53.3
65.368.6
Auto16.7
Teleop46.1
End11.8
red by 4.0
230
#21
70.50.8
66.267.0
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
Second
3882
#15
52.53.3
45.749.0
Auto6.9
Teleop36.1
End9.5
blue by 2.9
3130
#13
55.40.8
56.557.4
Auto11.7
Teleop34.6
End9.1
Third
3928
#16
51.93.3
48.351.6
Auto8.8
Teleop35.5
End7.6
red by 23.0
3814
#66
28.90.8
24.525.3
Auto4.3
Teleop21.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed