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Red232
80149.2
176880.3
518159.9
Blue194
963535.8
46762.3
124176.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210194100150250300232194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points48
51Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +21
33Coral scored#31
117Coral points110
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
155Total teleop134
Reef
17L4#16
13L3#12
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#7
49Game pieces#46
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
232Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.32.4
78.180.4
Auto20.4
Teleop53.4
End6.4
red by 3.8
1241
#61
76.40.4
79.579.9
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
5181
#18
59.92.4
58.260.6
Auto12.3
Teleop41.8
End5.8
blue by 2.4
467
#41
62.30.4
56.456.8
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
Third
801
#34
49.22.4
48.851.2
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End4.0
red by 13.4
9635
#75
35.80.4
41.041.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed