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Red167
913447.4
472872.9
270636.5
Blue149
857063.9
170026.8
573663.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166161120140180200167149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+28Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave9
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points33
37Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
104Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#6
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
167Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.91.0
72.773.7
Auto13.1
Teleop48.2
End11.6
red by 9.1
8570
#53
63.90.2
61.060.8
Auto15.5
Teleop36.9
End11.4
Second
9134
#22
47.41.0
46.247.2
Auto9.7
Teleop33.9
End3.8
blue by 15.8
5736
#56
63.20.2
60.960.7
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
Third
2706
#62
36.51.0
33.234.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.8
End1.7
red by 9.6
1700
#60
26.80.2
30.129.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned