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Red152
945088.2
88857.7
598524.3
Blue165
150661.8
949678.4
400952.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174211100150200250300152165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +9
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points50
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#7
12Processor points30
16Net points28
28Algae points58
99Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#8
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
152Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9450
#17
88.20.8
84.984.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.5
End11.8
red by 9.7
78.42.1
82.680.5
Auto21.7
Teleop50.1
End6.5
Second
888
#47
57.70.8
55.955.0
Auto17.2
Teleop39.4
End1.2
blue by 4.1
1506
#24
61.82.1
61.259.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End8.1
Third
5985
#48
24.30.8
21.921.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 27.7
4009
#35
52.02.1
53.150.9
Auto11.2
Teleop37.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsMissed