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Red104
190260.7
665215.3
1015725.1
Blue179
581757.5
790245.6
278357.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10118550150200250300104179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+75
Endgame+79
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
18Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +64
16Coral scored#31
56Coral points112
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
72Total teleop136
Reef
7L4#19
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#7
21Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
4Foul points0
104Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#30
60.70.8
60.860.1
Auto9.5
Teleop45.0
End6.2
red by 3.0
2783
#37
57.70.5
57.758.2
Auto16.7
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
25.10.8
24.824.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 32.4
5817
#64
57.50.5
53.053.5
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
Third
6652
#65
15.30.8
11.911.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 30.3
7902
#27
45.60.5
47.047.4
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed