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Red211
763268.6
304570.7
519348.4
Blue149
742140.6
397081.7
414570.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17820150100150250300211149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +40
29Coral scored#16
105Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
131Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#5
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#7
41Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
24Foul points0
211Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#45
70.70.8
69.970.7
Auto16.0
Teleop47.2
End7.6
blue by 11.0
3970
#43
81.72.6
80.177.5
Auto17.5
Teleop54.2
End10.0
Second
68.60.8
60.160.8
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5
blue by 1.4
4145
#12
70.02.6
63.961.3
Auto18.1
Teleop45.4
End6.5
Third
5193
#54
48.40.8
39.740.5
Auto10.2
Teleop30.9
End7.3
red by 7.8
7421
#71
40.62.6
39.336.6
Auto9.6
Teleop27.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed