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Red231
220081.1
664747.7
46762.3
Blue211
662174.0
247041.2
573663.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197182100150250231211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points38
48Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +6
29Coral scored#30
105Coral points107
5Processor algae#5
8Net algae#6
30Processor points30
32Net points24
62Algae points54
167Total teleop161
Reef
15L4#12
12L3#13
5L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
231Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.11.6
81.783.3
Auto18.1
Teleop57.7
End5.3
red by 7.0
74.01.0
68.269.2
Auto15.4
Teleop47.9
End10.7
Second
467
#41
62.31.6
56.858.4
Auto15.8
Teleop36.2
End10.2
blue by 1.0
5736
#56
63.21.0
60.761.7
Auto18.0
Teleop37.3
End7.9
Third
6647
#36
47.71.6
42.444.0
Auto7.7
Teleop37.1
End2.8
red by 6.5
2470
#70
41.21.0
42.743.7
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed