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Red222
687331.0
3377.7
365665.8
Blue147
37946.8
296052.7
238358.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20313450100150250300222147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
24Coral scored#19
88Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
12Net algae#6
18Processor points12
48Net points24
66Algae points36
154Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#10
12L3#7
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
222Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#23
77.72.8
79.181.9
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End8.2
red by 19.6
2383
#73
58.11.1
53.754.8
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Second
3656
#11
65.82.8
60.463.2
Auto12.0
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 13.1
2960
#20
52.71.1
54.055.0
Auto10.5
Teleop34.9
End7.3
Third
6873
#67
31.02.8
29.532.2
Auto4.1
Teleop24.1
End2.8
red by 24.2
3794
#69
6.81.1
12.213.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed