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Red188
103840.5
632471.8
319770.3
Blue159
333976.6
115366.5
54043.2
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18121750100150200250300188159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +10
21Coral scored#26
77Coral points93
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
119Total teleop129
Reef
13L4#7
6L3#9
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
36Game pieces#39
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
188Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#31
71.80.3
68.768.9
Auto15.5
Teleop48.4
End7.9
blue by 4.8
76.63.4
76.373.0
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
Second
3197
#44
70.30.3
67.868.1
Auto15.7
Teleop46.4
End8.2
red by 3.8
1153
#57
66.53.4
73.470.0
Auto14.6
Teleop43.8
End8.1
Third
1038
#42
40.50.3
27.227.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.4
End3.1
blue by 2.7
540
#50
43.23.4
45.742.4
Auto9.6
Teleop33.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed86%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed