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Red172
249167.3
859535.9
7063.4
Blue149
490786.0
8646.4
208026.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17715950100200250300172149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
114Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#7
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points0
172Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#25
67.30.2
58.058.1
Auto16.3
Teleop44.0
End7.0
blue by 18.7
86.00.4
87.587.1
Auto18.7
Teleop55.0
End12.3
Second
70
#40
63.40.2
69.469.6
Auto12.4
Teleop40.6
End10.4
red by 17.0
86
#49
46.40.4
44.644.2
Auto9.7
Teleop26.5
End10.2
Third
8595
#55
35.90.2
34.034.2
Auto7.5
Teleop23.1
End5.3
red by 9.1
2080
#74
26.80.4
17.717.3
Auto3.6
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned