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Red191
400952.0
763268.6
23070.5
Blue186
124176.4
581757.5
270636.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189181120140160200220240260191186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
25Coral scored#26
90Coral points92
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
18Processor points12
20Net points32
38Algae points44
128Total teleop136
Reef
14L4#8
6L3#13
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#8
39Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
191Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#21
70.50.1
67.067.1
Auto17.2
Teleop43.6
End9.7
blue by 5.9
1241
#61
76.40.5
79.980.4
Auto24.2
Teleop51.5
End0.7
Second
68.60.1
60.860.9
Auto17.2
Teleop45.0
End6.5
red by 11.1
5817
#64
57.50.5
53.554.0
Auto8.4
Teleop47.5
End1.7
Third
4009
#35
52.00.1
50.951.0
Auto11.2
Teleop37.4
End3.4
red by 15.6
2706
#62
36.50.5
34.234.7
Auto6.0
Teleop28.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed